Will Rajasthan voters break the ritual of alternating governments in the 2018 elections?

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Rajasthan Elections

The upcoming 2018 elections in the western state Rajasthan will be a litmus test for the BJP government. Will BJP succeed with a staggering victory in the 2018 elections and break the history of alternating governments every five years, a ritual since 1988.

Owing to the Modi wave which has swept across the country, Rajasthan has huge chances of breaching history and inviting BJP to rule the state for consecutive terms, the first in the 30 years history of Rajasthan. Rajasthan Elections

Last time, Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje credited PM Modi for the success of her party’s stellar victory. BJP seems to be treading strong in the state, while opposition Congress is recovering from a success-devoid panorama. Rajasthan Elections

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Rajasthan, with a population of 6.86 crores according to the 2011 census, has 200 Assembly constituencies in all. The state has nine regions—Ajmer State, Hadoti, Dhundhar, Gorwar, Shekhawati, Mewar, Marwar, Vagad, and Mewat. Rajasthan Elections

Community votes also play a crucial role in the elections of Rajasthan, a state which houses diverse communities like Jats, Meenas, Muslims, Yadavs and more. As a matter of fact, Jats and Meenas will comprise about 10 percent of Rajasthan’s population. Rajasthan Elections

BJP garnered the maximum votes in 2013 elections, thereby becoming the highest vote bank i.e. 45.17 percent, an unprecedented vote share since 1988. The highest vote share Congress has ever received in the history of Rajasthan politics is 44.95 percent in 1988.

The upcoming Ajmer elections will be a game changer for both Congress and BJP veterans. Considering that Ajmer is the home turf of Congress’s chief Sachin Pilot, a loss in Ajmer would ensue weakened sentiments for the party. Congress’ loss at Ajmer and Alwar elections will pave the way for BJP’s victory in the upcoming 2018 elections.

Clearly, Congress is bracing up for the upcoming elections amidst a PRO-BJP aura, while BJP is riding high on the discerning Modi wave. However, we can only wait until January 29th to see who cuts the edge in the upcoming Ajmer, Alwar, Mandalgarh elections.

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